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Estimates of the reproduction ratio from epidemic surveillance may be biased in spatially structured populations
An accurate and timely estimate of the reproduction ratio R of an infectious disease epidemic is crucial to make projections on its …
Piero Birello
,
Michele Re Fiorentin
,
Boxuan Wang (王博玄)
,
Vittoria Colizza
,
Eugenio Valdano
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Disruption of outdoor activities caused by wildfire smoke shapes circulation of respiratory pathogens
The consequences of wildfires on public health extend beyond injury. Smoke can traverse vast distances, compromising air quality in …
Beatriz Arregui García
,
Claudio Ascione
,
Arianna Pera
,
Davide Stocco
,
Boxuan Wang (王博玄)
,
Eugenio Valdano
,
Giulia Pullano
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The importance of increasing primary vaccinations against COVID-19 in Europe
In the European Union, mass vaccination against COVID-19 staved off the strict restrictions that had characterized early epidemic …
Pierre-Yves Boëlle
,
Eugenio Valdano
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Epidemic graph diagrams as analytics for epidemic control in the data-rich era
COVID-19 highlighted how modeling is an integral part of pandemic response. But it also exposed fundamental methodological challenges. …
Eugenio Valdano
,
Davide Colombi
,
Chiara Poletto
,
Vittoria Colizza
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Ignoring spatial heterogeneity in drivers of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the US will impede sustained elimination
To dissect the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in the United States, we integrate parallel streams of high-resolution data on …
Zachary Susswein
,
Eugenio Valdano
,
Tobias Brett
,
Pejman Rohani
,
Vittoria Colizza
,
Shweta Bansal
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Dynamics of new strain emergence on a temporal network
Multi-strain competition on networks is observed in many contexts, including infectious disease ecology, information dissemination or …
Sukankana Chakraborty
,
Xavier R Hoffmann
,
Marc Grau Leguia
,
Felix Nolet
,
Elisenda Ortiz
,
Ottavia Prunas
,
Leonardo Zavojanni
,
Eugenio Valdano
,
Chiara Poletto
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Evaluating the impact of PrEP on HIV and gonorrhea on a networked population of female sex workers
Sexual contacts are the main spreading route of HIV. This puts sex workers at higher risk of infection even in populations where HIV …
Alba Bernini
,
Elodie Blouzard
,
Alberto Bracci
,
Pau Casanova
,
Iacopo Iacopini
,
Benjamin Steinegger
,
Andreia Sofia Teixeira
,
Alberto Antonioni
,
Eugenio Valdano
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