Publications

Pierre-Yves Boëlle, Eugenio Valdano (2024). The importance of increasing primary vaccinations against COVID-19 in Europe. In Infectious Disease Modelling.

Cite DOI Journal website

Janet Song, Justin T Okano, Joan Ponce, Lesego Busang, Khumo Seipone, Eugenio Valdano, Sally Blower (2023). The role of migration networks in the development of Botswana's generalized HIV epidemic. In eLife.

Cite DOI Journal website

Piero Birello, Michele Re Fiorentin, Boxuan Wang (王博玄), Vittoria Colizza, Eugenio Valdano (2023). Estimates of the reproduction ratio from epidemic surveillance may be biased in spatially structured populations. On arXiv.

Cite DOI Journal website

Beatriz Arregui García, Claudio Ascione, Arianna Pera, Davide Stocco, Boxuan Wang (王博玄), Eugenio Valdano, Giulia Pullano (2023). Disruption of outdoor activities caused by wildfire smoke shapes circulation of respiratory pathogens. On medRxiv.

Cite DOI Journal website

Giulia De Meijere, Eugenio Valdano, Claudio Castellano, Marion Debin, Charly Kengne-Kuetche, Clément Turbelin, Harold Noël, Joshua Weitz, Daniela Paolotti, Lisa Hermans, Niel Hens, Vittoria Colizza (2023). Attitudes towards booster, testing and isolation, and their impact on COVID-19 response in winter 2022/2023 in France, Belgium, and Italy: a cross-sectional survey and modelling study. In The Lancet Regional Health - Europe.

Cite DOI Journal website

Eugenio Valdano, Justin T. Okano, Vittoria Colizza, Honoré Mitonga, Sally Blower (2022). Use of mobile phone data in HIV epidemic control. In The Lancet HIV.

Cite Journal website

Laetitia Gauvin, Mathieu Génois, Márton Karsai, Mikko Kivelä, Taro Takaguchi, Eugenio Valdano, Christian L Vestergaard (2022). Randomized Reference Models for Temporal Networks. In SIAM Review.

Cite Journal website arXiv

Eugenio Valdano, Davide Colombi, Chiara Poletto, Vittoria Colizza (2022). Epidemic graph diagrams as analytics for epidemic control in the data-rich era. On medRxiv - accepted in Nature Communications.

Cite DOI Journal website

Benjamin Steinegger, Iacopo Iacopini, Andreia Sofia Teixeira, Alberto Bracci, Pau Casanova-Ferrer, Alberto Antonioni, Eugenio Valdano (2022). Non-selective distribution of infectious disease prevention may outperform risk-based targeting. In Nature Communications.

Cite DOI Journal website

Justin T Okano, Eugenio Valdano, Honore K Mitonga, Sally Blower (2022). Predicting the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Africa: the case of Namibia. In Journal of Travel Medicine.

Cite DOI Journal website

Justin T Okano, Lesego Busang, Khumo Seipone, Eugenio Valdano, Sally Blower (2021). The potential impact of country-level migration networks on HIV epidemics in sub-Saharan Africa: the case of Botswana. In The Lancet HIV.

Cite DOI Journal website

Zachary Susswein, Eugenio Valdano, Tobias Brett, Pejman Rohani, Vittoria Colizza, Shweta Bansal (2021). Ignoring spatial heterogeneity in drivers of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the US will impede sustained elimination. On medRxiv.

Cite Journal website

Mattia Mazzoli, Eugenio Valdano, Vittoria Colizza (2021). Projecting the COVID-19 epidemic risk in France for the summer 2021. In Journal of Travel Medicine.

Cite DOI Journal website

Giulia De Meijere, Vittoria Colizza, Eugenio Valdano, Claudio Castellano (2021). Effect of delayed awareness and fatigue on the efficacy of self-isolation in epidemic control. In Physical Review E.

Cite DOI Journal website

Eugenio Valdano, Justin T. Okano, Vittoria Colizza, Honore K. Mitonga, Sally Blower (2021). Using mobile phone data to reveal risk flow networks underlying the HIV epidemic in Namibia. In Nature Communications.

Cite DOI Journal website

Eugenio Valdano, Chiara Poletto, Pierre-Yves Boëlle, Vittoria Colizza (2021). Reorganization of nurse scheduling reduces the risk of healthcare associated infections. In Scientific Reports.

Cite DOI Journal website

Eugenio Valdano, Jonggul Lee, Shweta Bansal, Stefania Rubrichi, Vittoria Colizza (2021). Highlighting socio-economic constraints on mobility reductions during COVID-19 restrictions in France can inform effective and equitable pandemic response. In Journal of Travel Medicine.

Cite DOI Journal website

Giulia Pullano, Eugenio Valdano, Nicola Scarpa, Stefania Rubrichi, Vittoria Colizza (2020). Evaluating the effect of demographic factors, socioeconomic factors, and risk aversion on mobility during the COVID-19 epidemic in France under lockdown: a population-based study. In The Lancet Digital Health.

Cite DOI Journal website

Francesco Pinotti, Laura Di Domenico, Ernesto Ortega, Marco Mancastroppa, Giulia Pullano, Eugenio Valdano, Pierre-Yves Boëlle, Chiara Poletto, Vittoria Colizza (2020). Tracing and analysis of 288 early SARS-CoV-2 infections outside China: A modeling study. In PLOS Medicine.

Cite DOI Journal website

Marius Gilbert, Giulia Pullano, Francesco Pinotti, Eugenio Valdano, Chiara Poletto, Pierre-Yves Boëlle, Eric D'Ortenzio, Yazdan Yazdanpanah, Serge Paul Eholie, Mathias Altmann, Bernardo Gutierrez, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Vittoria Colizza (2020). Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of COVID-19: a modelling study. In The Lancet.

Cite DOI Journal website

Justin T. Okano, Katie Sharp, Eugenio Valdano, Laurence Palk, Sally Blower (2020). HIV transmission and source–sink dynamics in sub-Saharan Africa. In The Lancet HIV.

Cite DOI Journal website

Giulia Pullano, Francesco Pinotti, Eugenio Valdano, Pierre-Yves Boëlle, Chiara Poletto, Vittoria Colizza (2020). Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020. In Eurosurveillance.

Cite DOI Journal website

Eugenio Valdano, Sally Blower (2019). Universal Testing and Treatment for HIV Infection in Botswana. In New England Journal of Medicine.

Cite DOI Journal website

Eugenio Valdano, Alex Arenas (2019). Exact Rank Reduction of Network Models. In Physical Review X.

Cite DOI Journal website

Alba Bernini, Elodie Blouzard, Alberto Bracci, Pau Casanova, Iacopo Iacopini, Benjamin Steinegger, Andreia Sofia Teixeira, Alberto Antonioni, Eugenio Valdano (2019). Evaluating the impact of PrEP on HIV and gonorrhea on a networked population of female sex workers. On the arXiv.

Cite Journal website

Sukankana Chakraborty, Xavier R Hoffmann, Marc Grau Leguia, Felix Nolet, Elisenda Ortiz, Ottavia Prunas, Leonardo Zavojanni, Eugenio Valdano, Chiara Poletto (2019). Dynamics of new strain emergence on a temporal network. On the arXiv.

Cite Journal website

Bryan Iotti, Eugenio Valdano, Lara Savini, Luca Candeloro, Armando Giovannini, Sergio Rosati, Vittoria Colizza, Mario Giacobini (2019). Farm productive contexts and the dynamics of bovine viral diarrhea (BVD) transmission. In Preventive Veterinary Medicine.

Cite DOI Journal website

Eugenio Valdano, Susanna Manrubia, Sergio Gómez, Alex Arenas (2019). Endemicity and prevalence of multipartite viruses under heterogeneous between-host transmission. In PLOS Computational Biology.

Cite DOI Journal website

Alexandre Darbon, Davide Colombi, Eugenio Valdano, Lara Savini, Armando Giovannini, Vittoria Colizza (2019). Disease persistence on temporal contact networks accounting for heterogeneous infectious periods. In Royal Society Open Science.

Cite DOI Journal website

Alexandre Darbon, Eugenio Valdano, Chiara Poletto, Armando Giovannini, Lara Savini, Luca Candeloro, Vittoria Colizza (2018). Network-based assessment of the vulnerability of Italian regions to bovine brucellosis. In Preventive Veterinary Medicine.

Cite DOI Journal website

Eugenio Valdano, Michele Re Fiorentin, Chiara Poletto, Vittoria Colizza (2018). Epidemic Threshold in Continuous-Time Evolving Networks. In Physical Review Letters.

Cite DOI Journal website

Christian L. Vestergaard, Eugenio Valdano, Mathieu Génois, Chiara Poletto, Vittoria Colizza, Alain Barrat (2016). Impact of spatially constrained sampling of temporal contact networks on the evaluation of the epidemic risk. In European Journal of Applied Mathematics.

Cite DOI Journal website

Eugenio Valdano, Chiara Poletto, Vittoria Colizza (2015). Infection propagator approach to compute epidemic thresholds on temporal networks: impact of immunity and of limited temporal resolution. In European Physical Journal B.

Cite DOI Journal website

Eugenio Valdano, Luca Ferreri, Chiara Poletto, Vittoria Colizza (2015). Analytical Computation of the Epidemic Threshold on Temporal Networks. In Physical Review X.

Cite DOI Journal website

Eugenio Valdano, Chiara Poletto, Armando Giovannini, Diana Palma, Lara Savini, Vittoria Colizza (2015). Predicting Epidemic Risk from Past Temporal Contact Data. In PLOS Computational Biology.

Cite DOI Journal website